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to do exactly that. For the North, this represented a vulnerability that could be manipulated to achieve key policy goals such as staving off.S. North Koreas youthful leader, Kim Jong-un, might seem an unlikely candidate to outmaneuver a seasoned politician like South Korean President Moon Jae-in. PyeongChang Peace Olympics image that the Moon administration ardently hopes to achieve. Commitment to leading its allies in cooperating to confront such propaganda maneuvers will prove essential to defeating North Koreas strategy. War threats, reducing international sanctions enforcement, buying time for further weapons development, driving wedges in the K alliance, and bolstering domestic regime legitimacy. Pyongyangs first message is that it is a peace-loving regime that has sought nuclear weapons solely for deterrence and wants nothing more than security and reunification. The North recognized that the Moon administrations deep commitment to the goal of Korean unification, and its belief that inter-Korean dialogue is the sole means to accomplishing that vision, could be used against the South. Analysts recognize that for the North at least warfare is not simply a matter of kinetic action that destroys enemy targets; political warfare is just as real and is constantly ongoing. At the same time, the North staged a major military parade in Pyongyang on February 8; on display were its new intercontinental ballistic missiles intended to convey the message that in addition to being able to turn Seoul into a sea of flames and sink. Such a message appeals to South Koreans on the left who believe that if only the United State would stop threatening North Korea and preventing Koreans from solving their own problems, the two sides could work things out amicably.
The two Koreas marched into the Olympics together under a joint flag and field a joint womens ice hockey team. Advocates of a strike argue that sanctions havent worked and that the North will continue to grow its arsenal; proliferate nuclear technology to other actors such as Iran, Islamic State, or al-Qaeda; or employ it as a shield behind which it can initiate conventional attacks. Such a move might help counteract North Korean efforts to undermine South Koreas stability, fracture the.S.-ROK alliance, and frustrate Northeast Asian cooperation aimed at deterring or defeating North Korean aggression.
Both sides argue that the other side is accepting too much risk. Third, the North recognized that the Moon administration has confronted a difficult foreign policy and security environment since coming to office last May. How it occurred is a textbook example of Pyongyangs influence operations, wedge-driving, and political warfare, elements of foreign policy at which North Korea excels. This debate has pitted those who argue the merits of deterrence plus crippling sanctions against those who believe a limited bloody nose strike intended to degrade or destroy the Norths nuclear architecture while leaving the regime in place and forcing it to negotiate away the. At the same time, Seoul was suffering from the twin concerns that the United States would either abandon Seoul or start a war that would come at South Koreas expense. It is clear that the North is using the Olympics as a stage to promote two key propaganda messages. Support for this request induced substantial doubt about its willingness to sustain a coordinated strategy of maximum pressure and engagement. One option could be to revive the Trilateral Coordination and Oversight Group that was set-up in the mid-1990s when North Koreas nuclear program came to light and use it to ensure close cooperation among the three parties; indeed, there have been some hints that Vice. Understanding what North Korea did will be key to reducing the likelihood of a recurrence of such gambits in the future and a reinvigorated.S.
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